How it turned out
We projected about 2.2 goals and the game finished with 2. Both teams scored. We made Under 3.5 goals 77%, and it landed.
What we said beforehand
We expect about 1.4 goals from CSKA Moscow and 0.9 from Rubin Kazan, so CSKA Moscow come out ahead by a nose. Put together, that is around 2.2 goals in the game, which is an ordinary sort of total.
Our pick: Under 3.5 goals. This has the look of a cagey, low-scoring game — around 2.2 goals in total (xG 1.3-0.9), keeping it under more often than not (about 79%). Clear chances should be at a premium.
We put the chance of that landing at about 77 out of 100. The price on offer is 1.31, which works out at about 76 out of 100. The two sit close together, so this is a lean rather than a standout price.
Recent results
CSKA Moscow have won one of the last five meetings, with four drawn.
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