What to expect
We expect about 2.1 goals from Dynamo Moscow and 0.9 from Orenburg, so Dynamo Moscow come out ahead by a clear distance rather than a nose. Put together, that is around 3.0 goals in the game, which is an ordinary sort of total.
Our pick: Dynamo Moscow to win. Dynamo Moscow are the stronger side on the numbers (xG 2.1-0.9), and we make them about 68% to win. On this shape, taking them to come out on top looks the cleaner play than chasing a bigger price elsewhere.
We put the chance of that landing at about 67 out of 100. The price on offer is 1.51, which works out at about 66 out of 100. The two sit close together, so this is a lean rather than a standout price.
Recent results
Dynamo Moscow have won three of the last five meetings, with two drawn.
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