What to expect
We expect about 1.2 goals from Al Fateh and 1.9 from Al Ittihad, so Al Ittihad come out ahead by a clear distance rather than a nose. Put together, that is around 3.1 goals in the game, and a match we expect to open up at both ends.
Al Ittihad come into this on three straight wins. Recent results are only ever part of the story, but they are worth knowing before kick-off.
Our pick: Both teams to score. Both of these carry enough of a threat to find the net (xG 1.2-1.9), and we make both teams to score about 60%. Expect goals at either end rather than a one-sided shut-out.
We put the chance of that landing at about 60 out of 100. The price on offer is 1.51, which works out at about 66 out of 100. The price is shorter than our own read, so there is less in this than it might look.
One thing to watch
A clean sheet at either end undoes it, and one side shutting up shop is always on the cards. The price is shorter than our own read of about 60%, so there's less value here than the number suggests.
