How it turned out
We projected about 2.5 goals; the game finished with 4. Both teams scored. We made Under 3.5 goals 75%. It lost.
What we said beforehand
I like this pick because the price looks good for a game that should be tight and low scoring. We think there will be few clear chances, which makes under 3.5 goals a good bet. The odds seem fair for a match that could see around 2 or 3 goals at most.
What the numbers say
✓Al Shabab have won two of their last five.
✓Al Qadsiah have won two of their last five.
Recent meetings
13 Feb 2025Al Shabab 2 - 3 Al Qadsiah
15 Sept 2024Al Qadsiah 0 - 1 Al Shabab
One thing to watch
Cagey games can burst open late, and a couple of goals in the closing stages would be enough to catch this out.