How it turned out
We projected about 2.4 goals; the game finished with 1. We made St Johnstone to score 1 or fewer 71%, and it landed.
What we said beforehand
We expect about 1.4 goals from Aberdeen and 1.0 from St Johnstone, so Aberdeen come out ahead by a nose. Put together, that is around 2.4 goals in the game, which is an ordinary sort of total.
Our pick: St Johnstone to score 1 or fewer. This is about St Johnstone's goals alone, not the game's total. We make them around 1.1 on the day, and the bet wants them to 1 or fewer, which we make about 71%.
We put the chance of that landing at about 71 out of 100. The price on offer is 1.41, which works out at about 71 out of 100. The two sit close together, so this is a lean rather than a standout price.
Recent results
Aberdeen have won two of the last five meetings, with two drawn.
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