How it turned out
We projected about 3.3 goals and the game finished with 4. We made Over 2.5 goals 59%, and it landed.
What we said beforehand
We expect about 1.9 goals from Kilmarnock and 1.4 from Dundee United, so Kilmarnock come out ahead by a nose. Put together, that is around 3.3 goals in the game, and a match we expect to open up at both ends.
Kilmarnock come into this on two straight defeats. Dundee United come into this on two straight defeats. Recent results are only ever part of the story, but they are worth knowing before kick-off.
Our pick: Over 2.5 goals. This should be an open game: we make it around 3.3 goals between the two (xG 1.9-1.4), landing about 61% of the time on these numbers. Both sides carry a threat, so the goals should follow.
We put the chance of that landing at about 59 out of 100. The price on offer is 1.76, which works out at about 57 out of 100. The two sit close together, so this is a lean rather than a standout price.
Recent meetings
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