How it turned out
We projected about 2.1 goals and the game finished with 2. We made FK IMT Beograd (Draw No Bet) 63%, and it landed.
What we said beforehand
We expect about 1.3 goals from FK IMT Beograd and 0.9 from Mladost Lučani, so FK IMT Beograd come out ahead by a nose. Put together, that is around 2.1 goals in the game, so we are braced for a tight one where good chances are rare.
Our pick: FK IMT Beograd (Draw No Bet). FK IMT Beograd are favoured here (xG 1.3-0.9), and draw-no-bet takes the sting out of it: if the game finishes level your stake comes back, so only a FK IMT Beograd defeat beats you.
We put the chance of that landing at about 63 out of 100. The price on offer is 1.24, which works out at about 81 out of 100. The price is shorter than our own read, so there is less in this than it might look.
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