Serie ASun 11 Oct · 18:45 UTC

Cagliari v Juventus prediction

CagliariWWLWW

JuventusDWWDL

What to expect

We expect about 0.9 goals from Cagliari and 1.4 from Juventus, so Juventus come out ahead by a nose. Put together, that is around 2.3 goals in the game, which is an ordinary sort of total.

Cagliari come into this on two straight wins. Recent results are only ever part of the story, but they are worth knowing before kick-off.

Our pick: Juventus to win. Juventus shade this one on the numbers (xG 0.9-1.4), and we make them about 54% to win. They look the better bet on the road, and backing them outright is the straightforward way in.

We put the chance of that landing at about 52 out of 100. The price on offer is 1.53, which works out at about 65 out of 100. The price is shorter than our own read, so there is less in this than it might look.

What the numbers say

✓Cagliari have won four of their last five.

✓Juventus have won two of their last five.

✓Three of the last five meetings finished under 2.5 goals.

✓Both teams scored in three of the last five meetings.

Recent meetings

17 Jan 2026Cagliari 1 - 0 Juventus

29 Nov 2025Juventus 2 - 1 Cagliari

23 Feb 2025Cagliari 0 - 1 Juventus

6 Oct 2024Juventus 1 - 1 Cagliari

19 Apr 2024Cagliari 2 - 2 Juventus

Juventus have won two of the last five meetings, with two drawn.

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