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Football/Serie A/Venezia v Inter
Serie A

Venezia v Inter prediction

Venezia crestVenezia20th of 20 · 3 ptsLLLLW
v
Inter crestInter1st of 20 · 19 ptsWDWLW

What to expect

We expect about 0.9 goals from Venezia and 2.4 from Inter, so Inter come out ahead by a clear distance rather than a nose. Put together, that is around 3.4 goals in the game, and a match we expect to open up at both ends.

Our pick: Inter to win. Inter shade this one on the numbers (xG 0.9-2.4), and we make them about 83% to win. They look the better bet on the road, and backing them outright is the straightforward way in.

We put the chance of that landing at about 81 out of 100. The price on offer is 1.35, which works out at about 74 out of 100. That gap is the whole reason this is on the site: we rate it more likely than the price does, and the price looks good to us because of it.

What the numbers say
✓Venezia have won one of their last five.
✓Inter have won three of their last five.
✓Three of the last four meetings finished under 2.5 goals.
✓Both teams scored in one of the last four meetings.

Recent results

12 Jan 2025Venezia 0 - 1 Inter
3 Nov 2024Inter 1 - 0 Venezia
22 Jan 2022Inter 2 - 1 Venezia
27 Nov 2021Venezia 0 - 2 Inter

Inter have won four of the last four meetings.

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