What to expect
We expect about 0.8 goals from Venezia and 1.3 from Lazio, so Lazio come out ahead by a nose. Put together, that is around 2.1 goals in the game, so we are braced for a tight one where good chances are rare.
Our pick: Not both teams to score. This shapes up as a quiet, low-key game — around 2.1 goals between the two (xG 0.8-1.3). One side keeping it tight for a clean sheet is well on the cards.
We put the chance of that landing at about 48 out of 100. The price on offer is 2.05, which works out at about 49 out of 100. The two sit close together, so this is a lean rather than a standout price.
