How it turned out
We projected about 2.4 goals and the game finished with 2. Both teams scored. We made Palermo to win 41%. It lost.
What we said beforehand
We expect about 1.1 goals from Avellino and 1.3 from Palermo, so Palermo come out ahead by a nose. Put together, that is around 2.4 goals in the game, which is an ordinary sort of total.
Avellino come into this on two straight wins. Palermo come into this on three straight wins. Recent results are only ever part of the story, but they are worth knowing before kick-off.
Our pick: Palermo to win. Palermo shade this one on the numbers (xG 1.1-1.3), and we make them about 42% to win. They look the better bet on the road, and backing them outright is the straightforward way in.
We put the chance of that landing at about 41 out of 100. The price on offer is 2.05, which works out at about 49 out of 100. The price is shorter than our own read, so there is less in this than it might look.
Recent results
Palermo have won one of the last two meetings, with one drawn.
The odds and results data behind this preview cost money every day it runs. If it was worth reading, you can help keep it free. Support us →
