What to expect
We expect about 1.4 goals from Cesena and 1.1 from Cremonese, so Cesena come out ahead by a nose. Put together, that is around 2.6 goals in the game, which is an ordinary sort of total.
Cremonese come into this on two straight wins. Recent results are only ever part of the story, but they are worth knowing before kick-off.
Our pick: Cesena to win. Cesena are the stronger side on the numbers (xG 1.4-1.2), and we make them about 34% to win. On this shape, taking them to come out on top looks the cleaner play than chasing a bigger price elsewhere.
We put the chance of that landing at about 33 out of 100. The price on offer is 3.30, which works out at about 30 out of 100. The two sit close together, so this is a lean rather than a standout price.
What the numbers say
✓Cesena have won one of their last five.
✓Cremonese have won two of their last five.
Recent meetings
22 Feb 2025Cremonese 1 - 2 Cesena
26 Dec 2024Cesena 0 - 1 Cremonese
