What to expect
We expect about 1.9 goals from Catanzaro and 1.4 from Mantova, so Catanzaro come out ahead by a nose. Put together, that is around 3.2 goals in the game, and a match we expect to open up at both ends.
Our pick: Catanzaro or Draw. This covers Catanzaro or the draw, trading a shorter price for a wider safety net. A sensible way to back the lean without needing the exact result.
We put the chance of that landing at about 71 out of 100. The price on offer is 1.37, which works out at about 73 out of 100. The two sit close together, so this is a lean rather than a standout price.
What the numbers say
✓Catanzaro have won one of their last five.
✓Mantova are unbeaten in their last five — three wins and two draws.
✓Two of the last four meetings finished under 2.5 goals.
✓Both teams scored in two of the last four meetings.
Recent meetings
14 Feb 2026Catanzaro 2 - 0 Mantova
29 Oct 2025Mantova 1 - 3 Catanzaro
13 May 2025Mantova 0 - 0 Catanzaro
23 Nov 2024Catanzaro 2 - 2 Mantova
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