Vicenza v Juve Stabia: how it went

How it turned out

We projected about 2.7 goals and the game finished with 2. Both teams scored. We made Juve Stabia to win 33%. It lost.

What we said beforehand

We expect about 1.3 goals from Vicenza and 1.3 from Juve Stabia, which is as level as our reading of a game gets. Put together, that is around 2.7 goals in the game, which is an ordinary sort of total.

Our pick: Juve Stabia to win. Juve Stabia shade this one on the numbers (xG 1.3-1.3), and we make them about 34% to win. They look the better bet on the road, and backing them outright is the straightforward way in.

We put the chance of that landing at about 33 out of 100. The price on offer is 4.00, which works out at about 25 out of 100. That gap is the whole reason this is on the site: we rate it more likely than the price does, and the price looks good to us because of it.