What to expect
We expect about 1.3 goals from Mantova and 1.4 from Pisa, which is as level as our reading of a game gets. Put together, that is around 2.7 goals in the game, which is an ordinary sort of total.
Our pick: Pisa to win. Pisa shade this one on the numbers (xG 1.3-1.4), and we make them about 36% to win. They look the better bet on the road, and backing them outright is the straightforward way in.
We put the chance of that landing at about 35 out of 100. The price on offer is 2.70, which works out at about 37 out of 100. The two sit close together, so this is a lean rather than a standout price.
What the numbers say
✓Mantova have won three of their last five.
✓Pisa have won two of their last five.
Recent meetings
16 Mar 2025Pisa 3 - 1 Mantova
7 Dec 2024Mantova 2 - 3 Pisa
