What to expect
We expect about 1.6 goals from Pisa and 1.3 from Catanzaro, so Pisa come out ahead by a nose. Put together, that is around 3.0 goals in the game, which is an ordinary sort of total.
Pisa come into this on five straight defeats. Recent results are only ever part of the story, but they are worth knowing before kick-off.
Our pick: Both teams to score. Both of these carry enough of a threat to find the net (xG 1.6-1.3), and we make both teams to score about 57%. Expect goals at either end rather than a one-sided shut-out.
We put the chance of that landing at about 57 out of 100. The price on offer is 2.10, which works out at about 48 out of 100. That gap is the whole reason this is on the site: we rate it more likely than the price does, and the price looks good to us because of it.
One thing to watch
A clean sheet at either end undoes it, and one side shutting up shop is always on the cards. Even on our own read it's closer to a coin-flip than a sure thing — about 57%.
