How it turned out
We projected about 2.8 goals and the game finished with 3. Both teams scored. We made Modena or Draw 72%, and it landed.
What we said beforehand
Vicenza host Modena in Serie B on 27 October 2026. Vicenza sit 13th with nine points from eight games and a -4 goal difference. Modena are much higher, third with 16 points and a +7 goal difference, sitting in the euro-places. A win for Vicenza would lift them above Juve Stabia and keep them clear of the relegation zone, while Modena look to stay in the top three and maintain the gap to Mantova above them. Both teams have played only a few days before, so fatigue could be a factor.
Vicenza have been inconsistent in their last eight matches, winning two, drawing three and losing three. Their most recent results are a 2-0 win away at Empoli, a 2-2 draw away at Benevento and a 3-0 loss at home to Pisa. Before that they fell 2-1 away to Verona, drew 1-1 at home to Juve Stabia and drew 2-2 away at Virtus Entella. In those eight games they have scored 11 and let in 15, keeping only one clean sheet and failing to find the net twice. Five of the games have seen both sides score, and six have produced three or more goals. Their three home games in this spell have produced a win, a draw and a loss.
Modena come into the match on a stronger run of five wins, one draw and two defeats in their last eight outings. Their latest fixtures are a 3-0 home win over Cesena, a 2-1 away loss to Carrarese and a 3-2 home victory against Verona. Earlier they beat Empoli 2-1 at home, drew 1-1 away at Sudtirol and suffered a 1-0 home loss to Avellino. In those eight games Modena have scored 15 and conceded only eight, with two clean sheets and just one game where they failed to score. Five of the matches have seen both teams score and six have produced three or more goals. Their last four away games have yielded two wins, one draw and one loss.
When the two clubs have met before, the games have tended to be open affairs with goals on both sides. The pattern in their recent form mirrors that history – most matches have featured three or more goals and both teams finding the net in the majority of them. Given Vicenza’s modest scoring record and Modena’s higher average, we expect a game with a few chances for each side but a slight edge to the visitors. The numbers suggest a total of around three goals, with both teams likely to score at least once.
Our pick is Modena or a draw at odds of 1.30. The price is shorter than we feel the game deserves, so backing the stronger side together with the safety net of a draw gives us a good chance of success. We think Modena will at least take a point, but if they fail to break down a disciplined Vicenza defence the match could finish level. A loss for Modena would require them to be shut out while Vicenza manage to score, which looks less likely given the recent form of both clubs.
Recent results
The odds and results data behind this preview cost money every day it runs. If it was worth reading, you can help keep it free. Support us →
