How it turned out
We projected about 2.6 goals and the game finished with 2. Both teams scored. We made NK Celje or Draw 65%, and it landed.
What we said beforehand
We expect about 1.3 goals from Olimpija Ljubljana and 1.3 from NK Celje, which is as level as our reading of a game gets. Put together, that is around 2.6 goals in the game, which is an ordinary sort of total.
NK Celje come into this on two straight draws. Recent results are only ever part of the story, but they are worth knowing before kick-off.
Our pick: NK Celje or Draw. This covers NK Celje or the draw, trading a shorter price for a wider safety net. A sensible way to back the lean without needing the exact result.
We put the chance of that landing at about 65 out of 100. The price on offer is 1.46, which works out at about 68 out of 100. The price is shorter than our own read, so there is less in this than it might look.
Recent results
NK Celje have won three of the last five meetings, with one drawn.
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