How it turned out
We projected about 2.1 goals; the game finished with 1. We made Stellenbosch FC to win 44%, and it landed.
What we said beforehand
We expect about 0.8 goals from Kruger United and 1.3 from Stellenbosch FC, so Stellenbosch FC come out ahead by a nose. Put together, that is around 2.1 goals in the game, so we are braced for a tight one where good chances are rare.
Stellenbosch FC come into this on two straight draws. Recent results are only ever part of the story, but they are worth knowing before kick-off.
Our pick: Stellenbosch FC to win. Stellenbosch FC shade this one on the numbers (xG 0.8-1.3), and we make them about 46% to win. They look the better bet on the road, and backing them outright is the straightforward way in.
We put the chance of that landing at about 44 out of 100. The price on offer is 2.70, which works out at about 37 out of 100. That gap is the whole reason this is on the site: we rate it more likely than the price does, and the price looks good to us because of it.
Recent results
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