How it turned out
We projected about 1.9 goals; the game finished with 5. Both teams scored. We made Sekhukhune United to win 35%, and it landed.
What we said beforehand
We expect about 0.9 goals from Richards Bay and 1.0 from Sekhukhune United, which is as level as our reading of a game gets. Put together, that is around 1.9 goals in the game, so we are braced for a tight one where good chances are rare.
Richards Bay come into this on two straight defeats. Sekhukhune United come into this on two straight draws. Recent results are only ever part of the story, but they are worth knowing before kick-off.
Our pick: Sekhukhune United to win. Sekhukhune United shade this one on the numbers (xG 0.9-1.0), and we make them about 37% to win. They look the better bet on the road, and backing them outright is the straightforward way in.
We put the chance of that landing at about 35 out of 100. The price on offer is 2.25, which works out at about 44 out of 100. The price is shorter than our own read, so there is less in this than it might look.
Recent results
Sekhukhune United have won two of the last five meetings, with two drawn.
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