What to expect
We expect about 1.5 goals from Basel and 1.5 from St. Gallen, which is as level as our reading of a game gets. Put together, that is around 3.0 goals in the game, and a match we expect to open up at both ends.
Our pick: Both teams to score. Both of these carry enough of a threat to find the net (xG 1.5-1.5), and we make both teams to score about 64%. Expect goals at either end rather than a one-sided shut-out.
We put the chance of that landing at about 64 out of 100. There is no settled price to hold that up against yet, so treat the call on its own terms.
What the numbers say
✓Basel have won two of their last five.
✓St. Gallen have won one of their last five.
✓Four of the last five meetings had three goals or more.
✓Both teams scored in three of the last five meetings.
Recent meetings
14 May 2026Basel 1 - 3 St. Gallen
8 Mar 2026St. Gallen 3 - 0 Basel
30 Nov 2025Basel 0 - 0 St. Gallen
26 Jul 2025St. Gallen 2 - 1 Basel
22 Feb 2025St. Gallen 2 - 2 Basel
