How it turned out
We projected about 3.3 goals; the game finished with 2. Both teams scored. We made Zurich to score 1 or fewer 70%, and it landed.
What we said beforehand
We expect about 2.3 goals from Sion and 1.0 from Zurich, so Sion come out ahead by a clear distance rather than a nose. Put together, that is around 3.3 goals in the game, and a match we expect to open up at both ends.
Sion come into this on five straight wins. Recent results are only ever part of the story, but they are worth knowing before kick-off.
Our pick: Zurich to score 1 or fewer. This is about Zurich's goals alone, not the game's total. We make them around 1.0 on the day, and the bet wants them to 1 or fewer, which we make about 70%.
We put the chance of that landing at about 70 out of 100. The price on offer is 1.41, which works out at about 71 out of 100. The two sit close together, so this is a lean rather than a standout price.
Recent results
Sion have won four of the last five meetings, with one drawn.
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