What to expect
We expect about 2.2 goals from Sion and 1.0 from Zurich, so Sion come out ahead by a clear distance rather than a nose. Put together, that is around 3.2 goals in the game, and a match we expect to open up at both ends.
Sion come into this on three straight wins. Recent results are only ever part of the story, but they are worth knowing before kick-off.
Our pick: Under 4.5 goals. We make this around 3.2 goals (xG 2.2-1.0), so the line leaves room: it takes five or more to beat us, keeping it under more often than not (about 72%).
We put the chance of that landing at about 70 out of 100. The price on offer is 1.35, which works out at about 74 out of 100. The price is shorter than our own read, so there is less in this than it might look.
Recent meetings
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