What to expect
We expect about 2.6 goals from Vaduz and 2.4 from Thun, which is as level as our reading of a game gets. Put together, that is around 5.0 goals in the game, and a match we expect to open up at both ends.
Thun come into this on two straight defeats. Recent results are only ever part of the story, but they are worth knowing before kick-off.
Our pick: Both teams to score. Both of these carry enough of a threat to find the net (xG 2.6-2.4), and we make both teams to score about 69%. Expect goals at either end rather than a one-sided shut-out.
We put the chance of that landing at about 69 out of 100. There is no settled price to hold that up against yet, so treat the call on its own terms.
What the numbers say
✓Vaduz have won two of their last five.
✓Thun have won one of their last five.
✓Four of the last five meetings had three goals or more.
✓Both teams scored in four of the last five meetings.
Recent meetings
10 Aug 2020Thun 4 - 3 Vaduz
7 Aug 2020Vaduz 2 - 0 Thun
2 Jun 2017Vaduz 1 - 3 Thun
25 Feb 2017Thun 4 - 3 Vaduz
22 Oct 2016Vaduz 2 - 3 Thun
