How it turned out
We projected about 2.3 goals; the game finished with 0. We made Club Atletico Peñarol or Draw 78%, and it landed.
What we said beforehand
We expect about 0.9 goals from Juventud de las Piedras and 1.4 from Club Atletico Peñarol, so Club Atletico Peñarol come out ahead by a nose. Put together, that is around 2.3 goals in the game, which is an ordinary sort of total.
Our pick: Club Atletico Peñarol or Draw. This covers Club Atletico Peñarol or the draw, trading a shorter price for a wider safety net. A sensible way to back the lean without needing the exact result.
We put the chance of that landing at about 78 out of 100. The price on offer is 1.22, which works out at about 82 out of 100. The price is shorter than our own read, so there is less in this than it might look.
Recent results
Club Atletico Peñarol have won two of the last five meetings, with three drawn.
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