How it turned out
We projected about 2.8 goals; the game finished with 4. Both teams scored. We made Liverpool FC to win 37%. It lost.
What we said beforehand
We expect about 1.5 goals from Montevideo City Torque and 1.4 from Liverpool FC, which is as level as our reading of a game gets. Put together, that is around 2.8 goals in the game, which is an ordinary sort of total.
Our pick: Liverpool FC to win. Liverpool FC shade this one on the numbers (xG 1.5-1.4), and we make them about 39% to win. They look the better bet on the road, and backing them outright is the straightforward way in.
We put the chance of that landing at about 37 out of 100. The price on offer is 2.15, which works out at about 47 out of 100. The price is shorter than our own read, so there is less in this than it might look.
Recent results
Liverpool FC have won three of the last five meetings, with two drawn.
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