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Football/Veikkausliiga/Gnistan v KuPS
Veikkausliiga · Mustapekka Areena

Gnistan v KuPS prediction

Gnistan crestGnistanLDWWD
v
KuPS crestKuPSLLWLL

What to expect

We expect about 1.4 goals from Gnistan and 1.8 from KuPS, so KuPS come out ahead by a nose. Put together, that is around 3.2 goals in the game, and a match we expect to open up at both ends.

KuPS come into this on two straight defeats. Recent results are only ever part of the story, but they are worth knowing before kick-off.

Our pick: Both teams to score. Both of these carry enough of a threat to find the net (xG 1.4-1.8), and we make both teams to score about 56%. Expect goals at either end rather than a one-sided shut-out.

We put the chance of that landing at about 56 out of 100. The price on offer is 1.51, which works out at about 66 out of 100. The price is shorter than our own read, so there is less in this than it might look.

What the numbers say
Gnistan have won two of their last five.
KuPS have won one of their last five.
Three of the last five meetings finished under 2.5 goals.
Both teams scored in two of the last five meetings.

Recent meetings

1 Aug 2026Gnistan 0 - 1 KuPS
11 Apr 2026KuPS 1 - 0 Gnistan
30 Oct 2025KuPS 1 - 1 Gnistan
27 Sept 2025Gnistan 0 - 4 KuPS
1 Jul 2025KuPS 6 - 2 Gnistan
KuPS have won four of the last five meetings, with one drawn.

One thing to watch

A clean sheet at either end undoes it, and one side shutting up shop is always on the cards. The price is shorter than our own read of about 56%, so there's less value here than the number suggests.

More Veikkausliiga fixtures

Full fixture list
Ilves crestIlvesvJaroJaro crest★★★★★
Ilves are the stronger side on the numbers (xG 2.5-1.1), and we make them about 69% to win. On this shape, taking them to come out on top looks the cleaner play than chasing a bigger price elsewhere.
Top pickIlves to win · 1.46Share
Lahti crestLahtivMariehamnMariehamn crest★★★★★
Lahti are the stronger side on the numbers (xG 1.8-0.7), and we make them about 61% to win. On this shape, taking them to come out on top looks the cleaner play than chasing a bigger price elsewhere.
Match outlookLahti to win · 1.42Share
TPS crestTPSvSJKSJK crest★★★★★
Both of these carry enough of a threat to find the net (xG 1.6-1.1), and we make both teams to score about 55%. Expect goals at either end rather than a one-sided shut-out.
Match outlookBoth teams to score · 1.55Share
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