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Football/Venezuela Primera División/Portuguesa v Estudiantes de Mérida
Venezuela Primera División

Portuguesa v Estudiantes de Mérida prediction

Portuguesa crestPortuguesa
v
Estudiantes de Mérida crestEstudiantes de Mérida

What to expect

We expect about 1.3 goals from Portuguesa and 0.9 from Estudiantes de Mérida, so Portuguesa come out ahead by a nose. Put together, that is around 2.3 goals in the game, which is an ordinary sort of total.

Our pick: Estudiantes de Mérida to score 1 or fewer. This is about Estudiantes de Mérida's goals alone, not the game's total. We make them around 0.9 on the day, and the bet wants them to 1 or fewer, which we make about 75%.

We put the chance of that landing at about 75 out of 100. The price on offer is 1.37, which works out at about 73 out of 100. The two sit close together, so this is a lean rather than a standout price.

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