How it turned out
We projected about 3.0 goals; the game finished with 5. Both teams scored. We made Austria Wien II to win 48%, and it landed.
What we said beforehand
We meet at the Austria 2. Liga on 20 September 2026, with Austria Wien II hosting Rapid Wien II at their home ground. Austria Wien II sit ninth out of sixteen, holding nine points from six matches and a goal difference of minus one. Just above them sits SW Bregenz, a single point clear, while Admira Wacker sit one place below on the same points. Rapid Wien II are down at 14th, with six points from six games and a poorer goal difference of minus seven. Sturm Graz II sit two places above them with a two-point cushion, and FC Hertha Wels are two spots below. Both sides are fighting to climb out of the lower half of the table, and a win for either club could move them a step up the ladder while pushing the other further down.
Our pick is Austria Wien II to win. The numbers give Austria Wien II an edge, with an expected 1.7 goals compared with Rapid Wien II’s 1.3, and an overall expectation of three goals in the game. Austria Wien II have an 83 % chance to score at least once and a 54 % chance to hit a double, while Rapid Wien II have a 72 % chance to find the net and a 37 % chance of scoring twice. We see a roughly 48 % chance of our prediction being right, and the price of 2.15 matches our view of the game. The price looks good for a side that should be the stronger of the two. For the pick to go wrong, Rapid Wien II would need to improve sharply, scoring at least two goals and keeping a clean sheet, which seems unlikely given their recent form and goal deficit.
Recent results
Austria Wien II have won two of the last five meetings, with two drawn.
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