What to expect
We expect about 1.7 goals from Austria Wien II and 1.3 from Rapid Wien II, so Austria Wien II come out ahead by a nose. Put together, that is around 3.0 goals in the game, and a match we expect to open up at both ends.
Our pick: Austria Wien II to win. Austria Wien II are the stronger side on the numbers (xG 1.7-1.3), and we make them about 49% to win. On this shape, taking them to come out on top looks the cleaner play than chasing a bigger price elsewhere.
We put the chance of that landing at about 48 out of 100. The price on offer is 2.15, which works out at about 47 out of 100. The two sit close together, so this is a lean rather than a standout price.
