How it turned out
We projected about 2.9 goals; the game finished with 4. Both teams scored. We made FC Wacker Innsbruck to win 42%. It lost.
What we said beforehand
We expect about 1.2 goals from Sturm Graz II and 1.6 from FC Wacker Innsbruck, so FC Wacker Innsbruck come out ahead by a nose. Put together, that is around 2.9 goals in the game, which is an ordinary sort of total.
FC Wacker Innsbruck come into this on two straight defeats. Recent results are only ever part of the story, but they are worth knowing before kick-off.
Our pick: FC Wacker Innsbruck to win. FC Wacker Innsbruck shade this one on the numbers (xG 1.2-1.6), and we make them about 44% to win. They look the better bet on the road, and backing them outright is the straightforward way in.
We put the chance of that landing at about 42 out of 100. The price on offer is 2.10, which works out at about 48 out of 100. The price is shorter than our own read, so there is less in this than it might look.
Recent results
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