What to expect
We expect about 1.5 goals from Kapfenberger SV and 1.7 from SKU Amstetten, so SKU Amstetten come out ahead by a nose. Put together, that is around 3.2 goals in the game, and a match we expect to open up at both ends.
Kapfenberger SV come into this on two straight defeats. Recent results are only ever part of the story, but they are worth knowing before kick-off.
Our pick: SKU Amstetten to win. SKU Amstetten shade this one on the numbers (xG 1.5-1.7), and we make them about 45% to win. They look the better bet on the road, and backing them outright is the straightforward way in.
We put the chance of that landing at about 44 out of 100. The price on offer is 1.81, which works out at about 55 out of 100. The price is shorter than our own read, so there is less in this than it might look.
