What to expect
We expect about 1.1 goals from SPG HOGO Wels and 1.2 from First Vienna FC, which is as level as our reading of a game gets. Put together, that is around 2.3 goals in the game, which is an ordinary sort of total.
First Vienna FC come into this on two straight wins. Recent results are only ever part of the story, but they are worth knowing before kick-off.
Our pick: SPG HOGO Wels to win. SPG HOGO Wels are the stronger side on the numbers (xG 1.1-1.2), and we make them about 38% to win. On this shape, taking them to come out on top looks the cleaner play than chasing a bigger price elsewhere.
We put the chance of that landing at about 36 out of 100. The price on offer is 3.60, which works out at about 28 out of 100. That gap is the whole reason this is on the site: we rate it more likely than the price does, and the price looks good to us because of it.
