How it turned out
We projected about 2.6 goals and the game finished with 2. We made Antwerp to score 1 or fewer 81%, and it landed.
What we said beforehand
We expect about 0.8 goals from Antwerp and 1.8 from St. Gilloise, so St. Gilloise come out ahead by a clear distance rather than a nose. Put together, that is around 2.6 goals in the game, which is an ordinary sort of total.
Antwerp come into this on three straight defeats. St. Gilloise come into this on five straight wins. Recent results are only ever part of the story, but they are worth knowing before kick-off.
Our pick: Antwerp to score 1 or fewer. This is about Antwerp's goals alone, not the game's total. We make them around 0.8 on the day, and the bet wants them to 1 or fewer, which we make about 81%.
We put the chance of that landing at about 81 out of 100. The price on offer is 1.30, which works out at about 77 out of 100. That gap is the whole reason this is on the site: we rate it more likely than the price does, and the price looks good to us because of it.
Recent results
St. Gilloise have won four of the last five meetings, with one drawn.
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