Kortrijk v Beveren: how it went

How it turned out

We projected about 2.6 goals; the game finished with 1. We made Kortrijk to score 1 or fewer 70%, and it landed.

What we said beforehand

We expect about 1.0 goals from Kortrijk and 1.6 from Beveren, so Beveren come out ahead by a nose. Put together, that is around 2.6 goals in the game, which is an ordinary sort of total.

Kortrijk come into this on five straight defeats. Beveren come into this on two straight wins. Recent results are only ever part of the story, but they are worth knowing before kick-off.

Our pick: Kortrijk to score 1 or fewer. This is about Kortrijk's goals alone, not the game's total. We make them around 1.0 on the day, and the bet wants them to 1 or fewer, which we make about 70%.

We put the chance of that landing at about 70 out of 100. The price on offer is 1.65, which works out at about 61 out of 100. That gap is the whole reason this is on the site: we rate it more likely than the price does, and the price looks good to us because of it.