How it turned out
We projected about 3.3 goals and the game finished with 3. We made Genk to score 1 or fewer 76%, and it landed.
What we said beforehand
We expect about 2.3 goals from Club Brugge and 1.1 from Genk, so Club Brugge come out ahead by a clear distance rather than a nose. Put together, that is around 3.3 goals in the game, and a match we expect to open up at both ends.
Club Brugge come into this on two straight wins. Genk come into this on two straight draws. Recent results are only ever part of the story, but they are worth knowing before kick-off.
Our pick: Genk to score 1 or fewer. This is about Genk's goals alone, not the game's total. We make them around 1.1 on the day, and the bet wants them to 1 or fewer, which we make about 76%.
We put the chance of that landing at about 76 out of 100. The price on offer is 1.40, which works out at about 71 out of 100. That gap is the whole reason this is on the site: we rate it more likely than the price does, and the price looks good to us because of it.
Recent results
Club Brugge have won five of the last five meetings.
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