How it turned out
We projected about 2.8 goals and the game finished with 3. We made Both teams to score 59%. It lost.
What we said beforehand
We expect about 1.4 goals from Cercle Brugge and 1.4 from Gent, which is as level as our reading of a game gets. Put together, that is around 2.8 goals in the game, which is an ordinary sort of total.
Cercle Brugge come into this on two straight defeats. Gent come into this on four straight wins. Recent results are only ever part of the story, but they are worth knowing before kick-off.
Our pick: Both teams to score. Both of these carry enough of a threat to find the net (xG 1.4-1.4), and we make both teams to score about 59%. Expect goals at either end rather than a one-sided shut-out.
We put the chance of that landing at about 59 out of 100. The price on offer is 1.58, which works out at about 63 out of 100. The price is shorter than our own read, so there is less in this than it might look.
Recent results
Cercle Brugge have won three of the last five meetings, with one drawn.
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