What to expect
We expect about 1.1 goals from Kortrijk and 1.8 from Waregem, so Waregem come out ahead by a clear distance rather than a nose. Put together, that is around 2.8 goals in the game, which is an ordinary sort of total.
Our pick: Waregem (Draw No Bet). Waregem are favoured here (xG 1.1-1.8), and draw-no-bet takes the sting out of it: if the game finishes level your stake comes back, so only a Waregem defeat beats you.
We put the chance of that landing at about 69 out of 100. The price on offer is 1.74, which works out at about 57 out of 100. That gap is the whole reason this is on the site: we rate it more likely than the price does, and the price looks good to us because of it.
One thing to watch
A draw hands your stake back, so only an outright Kortrijk win beats you — but on the day nothing is guaranteed. At around 69% on our numbers, it's a solid lean rather than a certainty.
