What to expect
We expect about 1.3 goals from Standard and 1.1 from Antwerp, which is as level as our reading of a game gets. Put together, that is around 2.3 goals in the game, which is an ordinary sort of total.
Our pick: Under 2.5 goals. This has the look of a cagey, low-scoring game — around 2.3 goals in total (xG 1.3-1.1), keeping it under more often than not (about 54%). Clear chances should be at a premium.
We put the chance of that landing at about 54 out of 100. There is no settled price to hold that up against yet, so treat the call on its own terms.
What the numbers say
✓Antwerp have won one of their last five.
One thing to watch
A goal against the run of play opens the game up, and a tight total can slip away fast. We only make this about 54%, so it's far from a lock.
