How it turned out
We projected about 2.5 goals; the game finished with 0. We made Mechelen to score 1 or fewer 78%, and it landed.
What we said beforehand
We expect about 1.6 goals from Lommel SK and 1.0 from Mechelen, so Lommel SK come out ahead by a nose. Put together, that is around 2.5 goals in the game, which is an ordinary sort of total.
Lommel SK come into this on two straight defeats. Mechelen come into this on two straight defeats. Recent results are only ever part of the story, but they are worth knowing before kick-off.
Our pick: Mechelen to score 1 or fewer. This is about Mechelen's goals alone, not the game's total. We make them around 0.8 on the day, and the bet wants them to 1 or fewer, which we make about 78%.
We put the chance of that landing at about 78 out of 100. The price on offer is 1.64, which works out at about 61 out of 100. That gap is the whole reason this is on the site: we rate it more likely than the price does, and the price looks good to us because of it.
Recent results
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