How it turned out
We projected about 2.5 goals; the game finished with 5. Both teams scored. We made Čelik Zenica to win 51%, and it landed.
What we said beforehand
We expect about 1.6 goals from Čelik Zenica and 0.9 from Radnik Bijeljina, so Čelik Zenica come out ahead by a clear distance rather than a nose. Put together, that is around 2.5 goals in the game, which is an ordinary sort of total.
Our pick: Čelik Zenica to win. Čelik Zenica are the stronger side on the numbers (xG 1.6-0.9), and we make them about 53% to win. On this shape, taking them to come out on top looks the cleaner play than chasing a bigger price elsewhere.
We put the chance of that landing at about 51 out of 100. The price on offer is 2.15, which works out at about 47 out of 100. That gap is the whole reason this is on the site: we rate it more likely than the price does, and the price looks good to us because of it.
The odds and results data behind this preview cost money every day it runs. If it was worth reading, you can help keep it free. Support us →
