What to expect
Our pick: Criciúma SC to win. Criciúma SC shade this one on the numbers (xG 1.2-1.5), and we make them about 45% to win. They look the better bet on the road, and backing them outright is the straightforward way in.
We put the chance of that landing at about 44 out of 100. The price on offer is 2.40, which works out at about 42 out of 100. The two sit close together, so this is a lean rather than a standout price.
What the numbers say
✓Athletic MG have won one of their last five.
✓Criciúma SC have won one of their last five.
Recent meetings
17 Apr 2025Criciúma SC 4 - 0 Athletic MG
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