How it turned out
The game finished with 2 goals. Both teams scored.
What we said beforehand
Náutico PE come into this on five straight defeats. Recent results are only ever part of the story, but they are worth knowing before kick-off.
Our pick: Atlético Goianiense to win. Atlético Goianiense shade this one on the numbers (xG 1.3-1.4), and we make them about 42% to win. They look the better bet on the road, and backing them outright is the straightforward way in.
We put the chance of that landing at about 42 out of 100. The price on offer is 3.25, which works out at about 31 out of 100. That gap is the whole reason this is on the site: we rate it more likely than the price does, and the price looks good to us because of it.
One thing to watch
Náutico PE only need one good spell or a set-piece to nick something, and short-priced favourites slip up plenty. We only make this about 42%, so it's far from a lock.
