What to expect
Our pick: Grêmio Novorizontino SP to win. Grêmio Novorizontino SP are the stronger side on the numbers (xG 1.2-0.7), and we make them about 47% to win. On this shape, taking them to come out on top looks the cleaner play than chasing a bigger price elsewhere.
We put the chance of that landing at about 45 out of 100. The price on offer is 2.05, which works out at about 49 out of 100. The price is shorter than our own read, so there is less in this than it might look.
What the numbers say
✓Grêmio Novorizontino SP have won two of their last five.
✓Juventude RS are unbeaten in their last five — two wins and three draws.
Recent meetings
2 Aug 2023Juventude RS 1 - 0 Grêmio Novorizontino SP
22 Apr 2023Grêmio Novorizontino SP 1 - 0 Juventude RS
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