How it turned out
The game finished with 3 goals. Both teams scored.
What we said beforehand
América MG come into this on two straight defeats. Recent results are only ever part of the story, but they are worth knowing before kick-off.
Our pick: América MG to win. América MG shade this one on the numbers (xG 1.0-1.1), and we make them about 39% to win. They look the better bet on the road, and backing them outright is the straightforward way in.
We put the chance of that landing at about 39 out of 100. The price on offer is 4.60, which works out at about 22 out of 100. That gap is the whole reason this is on the site: we rate it more likely than the price does, and the price looks good to us because of it.
Recent meetings
One thing to watch
Favourites drop points more often than a short price suggests, and one moment can earn Botafogo SP a draw or better. We only make this about 39%, so it's far from a lock.
