How it turned out
We projected about 2.4 goals; the game finished with 1. We made Bragantino to score 1 or fewer 75%, and it landed.
What we said beforehand
We expect about 1.4 goals from Atletico-MG and 0.9 from Bragantino, so Atletico-MG come out ahead by a nose. Put together, that is around 2.4 goals in the game, which is an ordinary sort of total.
Our pick: Bragantino to score 1 or fewer. This is about Bragantino's goals alone, not the game's total. We make them around 0.9 on the day, and the bet wants them to 1 or fewer, which we make about 75%.
We put the chance of that landing at about 75 out of 100. The price on offer is 1.42, which works out at about 70 out of 100. That gap is the whole reason this is on the site: we rate it more likely than the price does, and the price looks good to us because of it.
Recent results
Atletico-MG have won three of the last five meetings.
The odds and results data behind this preview cost money every day it runs. If it was worth reading, you can help keep it free. Support us →
