Remo v Gremio: how it went

How it turned out

We projected about 2.7 goals and the game finished with 2. Both teams scored. We made Remo to score 73%, and it landed.

What we said beforehand

Remo host Gremio in a Brasileirão Série A clash on 7 October 2026. Remo sit 19th of 20 with 23 points from 28 games and a –15 goal difference, deep in the relegation zone. One place above them, Internacional sit five points clear, while Chapecoense sit five points behind in 20th. Both teams are fighting to stay out of the drop, so the three points are crucial for each side.

Remo have not won any of their last eight matches, recording two draws and six defeats. Their most recent games were a 2-1 loss to Santos at home, two consecutive 2-1 defeats to Bahia away, a 1-0 loss to Flamengo RJ at home, a 3-2 loss to Coritiba at home and a 2-1 loss to Fluminense away. In those eight games they have scored nine goals and let in fifteen. They have failed to find the net only once, but seven of the matches saw both sides score and six featured three or more goals. Their last four home outings have produced one draw and three defeats, and they have not played since 18 days ago.

Gremio’s form is also poor, with two wins, one draw and five defeats in their last eight fixtures. The most recent results are a 0-0 draw with Palmeiras at home, a 3-2 loss to Botafogo RJ away, a 2-1 loss to Vasco at home, a 1-0 loss to Vitoria away, a 3-1 win over Chapecoense-SC at home and a 1-0 loss to Bragantino away. In those eight games they have scored eight and conceded twelve. They kept only one clean sheet and have been shut out four times. Their last four road games have all been defeats, and they have not taken the field since 17 days ago.

When the two clubs have met in the past they have produced plenty of goals, with both sides scoring in most encounters and several games seeing three or more goals. This pattern suggests an open game with chances for both teams, rather than a tight defensive battle. Given Remo’s recent inability to keep clean sheets and Gremio’s tendency to concede, another high-scoring affair looks likely.

Our pick is Remo to score. The chance of Remo finding the net is 76 out of 100 and our own view puts the likelihood at 73 out of 100, which is higher than the price of 1.25 we see on offer. The price is shorter than we think the game deserves, so it looks attractive. For the pick to fail Remo would have to be shut out, which would require a very tight defensive display that has not been seen from either side in recent weeks. If that does not happen, we expect Remo to get at least one goal.