What to expect
We expect about 1.2 goals from Internacional and 1.0 from Corinthians, so Internacional come out ahead by a nose. Put together, that is around 2.2 goals in the game, so we are braced for a tight one where good chances are rare.
Our pick: Internacional to win. Internacional are the stronger side on the numbers (xG 1.2-1.0), and we make them about 43% to win. On this shape, taking them to come out on top looks the cleaner play than chasing a bigger price elsewhere.
We put the chance of that landing at about 42 out of 100. The price on offer is 2.10, which works out at about 48 out of 100. The price is shorter than our own read, so there is less in this than it might look.
Recent meetings
Previews like this one are written for every fixture we cover, and the data behind them is not free. If this was worth reading, you can help pay for it. Support us →
