How it turned out
We projected about 2.9 goals and the game finished with 3. Both teams scored. We made Vasco to score 1 or fewer 77%. It lost.
What we said beforehand
We expect about 1.9 goals from Botafogo RJ and 1.0 from Vasco, so Botafogo RJ come out ahead by a clear distance rather than a nose. Put together, that is around 2.9 goals in the game, which is an ordinary sort of total.
Vasco come into this on four straight wins. Recent results are only ever part of the story, but they are worth knowing before kick-off.
Our pick: Vasco to score 1 or fewer. This is about Vasco's goals alone, not the game's total. We make them around 1.0 on the day, and the bet wants them to 1 or fewer, which we make about 77%.
We put the chance of that landing at about 77 out of 100. The price on offer is 1.47, which works out at about 68 out of 100. That gap is the whole reason this is on the site: we rate it more likely than the price does, and the price looks good to us because of it.
Recent results
Botafogo RJ have won four of the last five meetings, with one drawn.
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