How it turned out
The game finished with 2 goals. We made Under 3.5 goals 76%, and it landed.
What we said beforehand
Flamengo RJ come into this on two straight draws. Recent results are only ever part of the story, but they are worth knowing before kick-off.
Our pick: Under 3.5 goals. Low-scoring lean. The model projects about 2.9 in total.
We put the chance of that landing at about 76 out of 100. The price on offer is 1.46, which works out at about 68 out of 100. That gap is the whole reason this is on the site: we rate it more likely than the price does, and the price looks good to us because of it.
What the numbers say
✓Flamengo RJ have won two of their last five.
✓Vitoria have won one of their last five.
✓Five of the last five meetings had three goals or more.
✓Both teams scored in four of the last five meetings.
Recent meetings
11 Feb 2026Vitoria 1 - 2 Flamengo RJ
26 Aug 2025Flamengo RJ 8 - 0 Vitoria
6 Apr 2025Vitoria 1 - 2 Flamengo RJ
8 Dec 2024Flamengo RJ 2 - 2 Vitoria
25 Jul 2024Vitoria 1 - 2 Flamengo RJ
One thing to watch
It only takes one early goal to change how both sides play, and a low total can unravel in a single quick spell.
