How it turned out
We projected about 2.9 goals; the game finished with 1. We made Levski Sofia to win 69%, and it landed.
What we said beforehand
We expect about 0.8 goals from Dunav Ruse and 2.0 from Levski Sofia, so Levski Sofia come out ahead by a clear distance rather than a nose. Put together, that is around 2.9 goals in the game, which is an ordinary sort of total.
Dunav Ruse come into this on three straight wins. Recent results are only ever part of the story, but they are worth knowing before kick-off.
Our pick: Levski Sofia to win. Levski Sofia shade this one on the numbers (xG 0.8-2.0), and we make them about 71% to win. They look the better bet on the road, and backing them outright is the straightforward way in.
We put the chance of that landing at about 69 out of 100. The price on offer is 1.23, which works out at about 81 out of 100. The price is shorter than our own read, so there is less in this than it might look.
Recent results
Levski Sofia have won five of the last five meetings.
The odds and results data behind this preview cost money every day it runs. If it was worth reading, you can help keep it free. Support us →
