What to expect
We expect about 1.0 goals from Slavia Sofia and 1.3 from CSKA 1948, so CSKA 1948 come out ahead by a nose. Put together, that is around 2.3 goals in the game, which is an ordinary sort of total.
Our pick: CSKA 1948 to win. CSKA 1948 shade this one on the numbers (xG 1.0-1.3), and we make them about 43% to win. They look the better bet on the road, and backing them outright is the straightforward way in.
We put the chance of that landing at about 42 out of 100. The price on offer is 1.89, which works out at about 53 out of 100. The price is shorter than our own read, so there is less in this than it might look.
What the numbers say
✓CSKA 1948 have won two of their last five.
